Notable Calls

RSS feed
Notablecalls@gmail.com

Thursday, August 14, 2008

 

Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM): November could be a blow-out quarter for RIM - Merrill Lynch

Merrill Lynch is out very positive on Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) reiterating their Buy rating and $170 PO on RIM, heading into a seasonally strong Sep-Dec period which also coincides with the contract renewal/device upgrade timeframe for the older Blackberry 8700 and Blackberry Pearl customers. Firm believes street expectations are low – especially for the November quarter that could feature 2 to 3 new product launches with multiple global carriers and couldbe a blow-out quarter for RIM. Valuation remains compelling at 26x CY09EPE, relative to expectations for 35%+ annual EPS growth rate for next 3-5 years.

Currently consensus estimates are for RIM’s shipments to grow from 6.1mn units in F2Q09 (Aug) to ~7mn units in F3Q09 (Nov). This QoQ growth of ~0.9mn units is the same as last year’s growth in the same period, which seems extremely conservative as RIM could launch 3-4 new platforms (**) within F3Q09, AND has 1.5x more subscribers than last year with pent-up demand for upgrades. Firm forecasts 7.1mn units for F3Q and believes shipments could be closer to 8mn to 9mn units, or 10%-30% above current street expectations

Notablecalls: I was just talking to one smart trader about RIMM yesterday. He was taking some long just before the close noting the last 3 day retracement was on really light volume.

So, today we have MLCO out with a uber-bullish call on the name. The call stands out from the consensus and I expect the stock to hit at least $130+ on it.

Comments:
Well now... this is indeed interesting. As I stated before here I think the iPhone will sell 20-25 million units this year. RIMM on the other hand I think has peaked. The new models Bold n Thunder will not be good enough to keep users from switching to the iPhone. The RIMM app store is laughable trying to copy Apples. BLOW OUT - we will see soon. I think this report is manipulative in nature. I tend to believe one of the Merrill Lynch funds made a bad investment lately in RIMM and needed a boost. Naw... they would never do anything like that!

Thanks for this blog - excellent as always!

HH
 
Post a Comment



<< Home

Archives

June 2006   July 2006   August 2006   September 2006   October 2006   November 2006   December 2006   January 2007   February 2007   March 2007   April 2007   May 2007   June 2007   July 2007   August 2007   September 2007   October 2007   November 2007   December 2007   January 2008   February 2008   March 2008   April 2008   May 2008   June 2008   July 2008   August 2008   September 2008   October 2008   November 2008   December 2008   January 2009   February 2009   March 2009   April 2009   May 2009   June 2009   July 2009  

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?