Thursday, July 17, 2008

Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM): Device shipments and activations are about 20-30% ahead of plan - Canaccord Adams

- Canaccord Adams is out with a huge call on Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) after they conducted our mid-quarter channel checks with leading global handset carriers and partners, including AT&T, Vodafone and Verizon. They did this to ascertain the fact and fiction of some recent comments made on Wall Street.

Canaccord believes that RIM's device shipments and activations are about 20-30% ahead of plan for June and July up to the 14th for all carriers. At AT&T, June came in at 20% above May, and July is tracking, based on data up to Monday, to be flat to up 5% in July at AT&T (yes, the iPhone carrier). Blackberry sales have seen no adverse impact from the recent iPhone 3G launch.

They are raising their Q2 revenue and EPS from US$2.62 billion/US$0.89 to US$2.67 billion/US$0.92. This is based on new Q2 shipments and net sub adds of 6.25 million and 2.7 million, respectively (previously 6.1 million and 2.6 million). Firm continues to believe that Bold will be launched in limited capacity in August, followed by major global releases in mid-September. They expect Kickstart, Javelin and Thunder in FQ4. Reiterates BUY rating and US$225 target.

RIM continues to be on Canaccords Best Ideas list.

Notablecalls: This is a pretty big call that should give the stock a significant boost. Kudos goes to Canaccord's Peter Misek for excellent channel checks.

1 comment:

The HardHead Fund said...

Holy cow - I think they been drinking something other than Moosehead beer! RIMM will be lucky to get back to 120.

Yesterday, Needham’s Charlie Wolf cut his 2008 EPS estimate to $3.70 from $4.05; for 2009 he goes to $4.80 from $6.25. He puts fair value on the stock at $87. I agree with him.

I think Canaccord Adams has been watching too much Cramer.