Thursday, July 24, 2008

MEMC Elec (NYSE:WFR): Upgraded at two tier-1 firms

Two tier-1 firms positive on MEMC Elec (NYSE:WFR) this morning:

- Citigroup notes that following through on their cautious call into the Q, they think this is finally the peak of the bad news w/the stock, at ~$40 aftermarket, now possessing a unique combination of attributes: inexpensive, and finally set up to beat and raise headed into late '08/early '09. While peers have tried to make this call for several Qs, they think three key things have changed that finally make this stock work going forward: 1) silane (an inherently difficult process to ramp and one in which very few companies around the world have deep expertise) is no longer the capacity bottleneck, 2) capacity to significantly beat
is in the ground, and 3) valuation leaves significant margin for error. Even assuming $50/kg for all solar pdct, they estimate downside to ~$35 against upside to $65 tgt (sum of parts). C09 largely unch'd, C10 from $5.63 to $6.14. Upgrades Hold to Buy and adds to Citi's Top Picks Live (TPL).

- JP Morgan upgrades WFR to Overweight from Neutral this morning.

Notablecalls: I suspect the stock will trade just below the $50 level today. There is some offered in pre mkt - I suggest you take it for a bounce.

1 comment:

Guliamo said...

So it turns out MEMC had a Q2 from hell...
the company says it had a failure of a heat exchanger at a production facility in Italy and a fire at its Pasadena, Texas, plant... sounds almost like my excuses to my teachers in grade school, There was a fire in my backpack and the home work is gone!
There is some good news for me though, since I'm down so much on the stock, (20% in the past year) I feel no urge to sell it. The sector is promising, the CEO will probably get canned and I'll wait around for the stock to pick up again.
With the P/E of a donut shop, things can only get better.