Wednesday, January 09, 2008

Pharmaceutical Product Development (NASDAQ:PPDI): Cautious comments following Q4 results

Couple of firms are out somewhat cautious on Pharmaceutical Product Development (NASDAQ:PPDI) after the co released its Q4 results last night:

- Baird notes that on face, PPDI delivered an above-consensus forecast and shares bid to new highs after Market;however, PPDI reduced 4Q07 Development targets and delivered 2008 Development EPS targets below their (below-consensus) model. Core operating reductions were offset by lower Discovery dilution and inclusion of an unexpected, and potentially aggressive, milestone. Absent Compound Partnering, they would be more cautious, and are conflicted on whether a first-cycle SYR-322 milestone is appropriate in guidance.

Maintains Outperform and $48 tgt.

- Jefferies says that while PPD's CY08 EPS guidance exceeds both consensus and their estimates, extracting the milestones included within guidance brings PPD's results in-line with their estimates. Although the firm is encouraged by the increased earnings power from compound partnering milestones, PPD's guidance is now closely tied to a binary event.

Maintains Hold and $43 tgt.

Notablecalls: Based on these comments, I don't think PPDI deserves to trade 2-3 pts higher this AM. It's up there bc of the UBS upgrade and these guys are just LATE. PPDI to unch is my call here.

Btw, how can Baird stay at Outperform with a $48 tgt?

No comments: